Looks Like Somebody’s Lying: IBD/TIPP Polls Trump Low, But Poor Methodology Used – So Why Is The New York Times Promoting This Crappy Data?

Written by Karen Colasinski for Media Mass Deception


So here we go again. Despite robust national polls and Poll Convergences repeatedly showing that Donald Trump has all but clinched the GOP nomination, and could very well win the General Election in 2016 (this week 25% of Blacks polled said they would vote for Trump over Hillary or Bernie; Asians choose Trump over any other candidate as well – see my posts on this yesterday), deceptive mainstream media continues to promote polls that use poor methodology, then shove the suspect data repeatedly down the American public’s throat.
Bearing in mind that OF COURSE there are going to be ups and downs in the polls with more than a year to go and depending on issues brought to the table, including when and how each candidate handles them. Carson had a very good week after he confronted the “Muslim” issue. I don’t begrudge him that. However, it’s the (intentionally?) deceptive and misleading I despise. I’m one of those people who wants to win fair and clean. Don’t freaking cheat!

This time the suspect poll is from IBD/TIPP – polling 377 registered GOP or GOP “leaners” between 9/26-10/1/15. It says, “The nationwide survey found that 24% of Republicans back Carson, compared with 17% who say they support Trump.” 377 people – and IBD/TIPP allows cell phone numbers – how accurate do we really think this poll was?

They brag that the NY Times says they were the most accurate polls the last three elections. Really?

Well, let’s take a little closer look at that claim for the last two election cycles (for brevity). They were ranked #15 in 2008 by Fordham University – these are accuracy stats AFTER the fact. The top four that year were Rasmussen; Pew, YouGov/Polimetrix and Harris Interactive: http://blog.chron.com/…/the-list-which-presidential-polls-…/

In 2012 Fordham University ranked for accuracy after the fact: PPP, Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP, YouGov, and Ipsos/Reuters. IBD/TIPP ranked #10.http://www.businessinsider.com/most-accurate-polls-of-2012-…

#15. #10. That doesn’t sound like the “most accurate” to me. Rather, it looks like somebody’s lying. And it’s why, especially for this election, I am combing polls and looking at who, where, when, how many, and methodologies and THEN results. (Karen Colasinski)

Donald Trump Falls: Ben Carson Surges To Lead In Poll


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