Written by Karen Colasinski for Media Mass Deception
This time the suspect poll is from IBD/TIPP – polling 377 registered GOP or GOP “leaners” between 9/26-10/1/15. It says, “The nationwide survey found that 24% of Republicans back Carson, compared with 17% who say they support Trump.” 377 people – and IBD/TIPP allows cell phone numbers – how accurate do we really think this poll was?
They brag that the NY Times says they were the most accurate polls the last three elections. Really?
Well, let’s take a little closer look at that claim for the last two election cycles (for brevity). They were ranked #15 in 2008 by Fordham University – these are accuracy stats AFTER the fact. The top four that year were Rasmussen; Pew, YouGov/Polimetrix and Harris Interactive: http://blog.chron.com/…/the-list-which-presidential-polls-…/
In 2012 Fordham University ranked for accuracy after the fact: PPP, Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP, YouGov, and Ipsos/Reuters. IBD/TIPP ranked #10.http://www.businessinsider.com/most-accurate-polls-of-2012-…
#15. #10. That doesn’t sound like the “most accurate” to me. Rather, it looks like somebody’s lying. And it’s why, especially for this election, I am combing polls and looking at who, where, when, how many, and methodologies and THEN results. (Karen Colasinski)